August 4, 2025 U.S. Stock Market: Employment Data and Tariff News Push Stocks Higher


Overview

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The U.S. stock market rose today as weaker-than-expected employment figures coupled with expectations of an early rate cut bolstered investor confidence. Large tech stocks led the market rebound, contributing significantly to today's gains.

Nasdaq Composite
S&P 500
Dow Jones Industrial Average
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A Major News Story

Meta and Nvidia each soared by about 3.5%, leading the market's rally. Tesla's stock also rose following news that its board approved a stock compensation plan for Elon Musk valued at approximately $29 billion. Additionally, Joby saw a significant price jump after announcing plans to acquire the urban air mobility unit of Blade Air Mobility. The bond market remained relatively quiet ahead of a major $125 billion treasury auction, while oil prices fell as investors weighed OPEC's production increase decision.


Tomorrow's Economic Indicators

TimeIndicator
20:30U.S. June Trade Balance
20:55U.S. Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index
20:45U.S. July S&P Global Services PMI
20:45U.S. July S&P Global Composite PMI
23:00U.S. July ISM Services PMI
02:00U.S. 3-Year Treasury Auction

General Opinion

Market experts have mixed views on today's rebound. Some see it as a technical bounce, while others view the inflow of bargain hunting as a healthy signal, indicating that some investors see this as a buying opportunity. The core of this volatility lies in the employment report released last Friday, which showed disappointing numbers, leading to a political backlash. Additionally, new tariffs set to be fully implemented this week are creating inflationary pressures and cost concerns. Despite these uncertainties, the market seems to be leaning towards the Federal Reserve's policy stance, with an 85% probability of a rate cut by September reflected in market sentiments.

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