July 11, 2025: Tech Stocks Rally Amidst Weaker Job Market and Interest Rate Speculation


Overview

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The U.S. stock market closed higher today as tech stocks led the rally. Google's favorable outcome in an antitrust lawsuit helped drive gains, and disappointing employment figures increased expectations for a potential interest rate cut in September.

Nasdaq Composite
S&P 500
Dow Jones Industrial Average
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A Major News Story

  • Google Antitrust Ruling: Google avoided a forced sale of its Chrome browser, causing its stock to surge. This favorable court decision maintained its search engine contract with Apple, boosting Apple's stock by 3.8%.
  • Weaker Employment Indicators: July's job openings fell to a near-seven-year low, particularly in healthcare and retail sectors, after the June report showed a similar trend. This reflects businesses' cautious stance in hiring due to economic uncertainties. Despite these signs, most Federal Reserve officials are not overly concerned about the slower job growth, attributing it to a decline in economic activity rates rather than a severe downturn.
  • Interest Rate Speculation: Federal Reserve officials have mixed views. Some advocate for a rate cut beginning this year, followed by multiple cuts in the coming months, while others remain cautious due to inflation concerns.

Tomorrow's Economic Indicators

Release TimeIndicator
20:00U.S. August Challenger Job Cuts
20:15U.S. August ADP Nonfarm Employment
20:30U.S. Q2 Unit Labor Costs
20:30U.S. Q2 Nonfarm Productivity
20:30U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims
20:30U.S. July Trade Balance
20:45U.S. August S&P Global Services PMI
20:45U.S. August S&P Global Composite PMI
23:00U.S. August ISM Services PMI
23:30U.S. EIA Natural Gas Inventory
Post-MarketEIA Crude Oil Inventories
Post-MarketFederal Reserve Member Speech

A General Opinion

Today's market rally was buoyed by Google's legal victory and weaker employment signals, which heightened expectations for an interest rate cut. However, mixed views within the Federal Reserve necessitate careful monitoring of economic trends. The market remains focused on upcoming economic indicators to better understand potential economic trajectories.

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