September 25, 2025 | U.S. Stock Market Slumps Amidst Strong Economic Indicators and Interest Rate Uncertainty


Overview

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Today's U.S. stock market ended lower as stronger-than-expected economic indicators fueled uncertainty over the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut trajectory, compounded by valuation pressures. The S&P 500 index continued its decline for the third consecutive day, marking its longest losing streak in a month, while the 2-year Treasury yield rose by 6 basis points to 3.66%.

The S&P 500 index recorded its longest losing streak in a month. The second-quarter GDP growth rate was revised to an annualized 3.8%, surpassing preliminary estimates, and initial jobless claims decreased to their lowest level since July, indicating robust employment despite the uncertainties.

Nasdaq Composite
S&P 500
Dow Jones Industrial Average
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Major News

Within the Federal Reserve, there were differing opinions on monetary policy. The Chicago Fed president expressed concern about inflation from tariffs, opposing preemptive rate cuts, while the Dallas Fed's Logan proposed considering a new benchmark interest rate linked to the Treasury market. All eyes are on the August personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, expected to show a slowdown, but still maintaining a high year-on-year rate of 2.9%.


Tomorrow's Economic Indicators

TimeEvent
22:30U.S. August PCE Price Index
23:00U.S. September Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
23:00U.S. September Michigan Inflation Expectations
To be announcedBaker Hughes Total Rig Count
20:20Fed Chair Powell Speech
To be announcedFed Governor Bowman Speech

General Opinion

The market is currently shaken by strong economic indicators and uncertainty regarding the Fed's interest rate policy. Investors are also vigilant about valuation pressures and potential government shutdown risks, with upcoming economic data likely to influence future market direction.

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